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An Emerson College Polling survey conducted by Your Local Election Headquarters is shedding light on how Virginians may vote in the upcoming 2024 Presidential election. The poll shows a close race between former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden, with 45.4% of voters leaning towards Trump, 43.4% towards Biden, and 11.2% undecided.
The survey, conducted online, via landline, and mobile phones, reveals insights into voter sentiment on issues impacting the state and country. It also examines the impact of third-party candidates on the election outcome, with Trump gaining a lead when alternate candidates are included on the ballot.
Independent voters, in particular, are leaning towards Trump, in contrast to their support for Biden in the 2020 election. The survey also highlights a desire among voters for alternative options, with a notable percentage considering voting outside of their party affiliation.
Overall, most voters believe the country is on the wrong track, mirroring their disapproval of the job Biden is doing as President. Despite recent discussions about Biden’s leadership, a hypothetical matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump does not significantly shift the needle, indicating muted support for Harris without the benefit of the president’s title.
In contrast, voters in Virginia are more optimistic about the state’s direction, with a majority feeling it is heading in the right direction. This sentiment is more pronounced among Republican and Independent voters compared to Democrats.
As the 2024 election approaches, undecided voters and swing towards third-party candidates could play a crucial role in determining the outcome in Virginia. The survey underscores the importance of understanding voter sentiment and preferences as the electoral landscape continues to evolve.
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