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Weeks after Hurricane Beryl caused widespread damage in the Caribbean and knocked out power in southeast Texas, a new disturbance is developing in the tropics. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a system in the central Atlantic that shows signs of potential development. Plumes of dust from the Sahara Desert and dry air have hindered tropical storm activity, but forecasts predict an increase in activity by the end of July and early August.

The disturbance in the central Atlantic is expected to interact with a tropical wave in the coming days, with a 40% chance of development over the next week. The system could potentially become a tropical depression by mid-to-late week near the Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, or the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

Although chances of development in the next 48 hours remain low, experts warn of a dangerous hurricane season ahead. The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is anticipated to be extremely active, with forecasts predicting above-normal storm numbers. Factors contributing to the hyperactive season include warm water temperatures in the Atlantic, the development of La Niña conditions in the Pacific, and reduced wind shear in the Atlantic.

Despite a lull in tropical activity after Hurricane Beryl, experts are still preparing for an active hurricane season ahead. The disturbance in the central Atlantic may face challenges from dry and dusty air, but if it overcomes these conditions, it could have a higher chance of development in August.

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