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The Risk of a Storm Goes Beyond its Category


Tropical Storm Debby’s approach to landfall, with the potential for up to 30 inches of rain in some areas in the Southeast, highlights the limitations of the traditional wind category system used for hurricanes. Meteorologist Barry Goldsmith emphasized the need to consider factors like rain and storm surge in addition to wind speed when assessing the impact of a storm. Although the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is useful for personal preparations, it does not provide a comprehensive picture of a storm’s potential devastation. Experts like James Franklin and Craig Fugate emphasize that categories do not capture the entire story of a storm, including factors like rainfall, storm surge, and speed of movement. Forward speed can significantly affect the amount of rain a storm drops, with slower-moving storms posing a higher flood risk. Some researchers advocate for alternative ways to convey hurricane risks, such as a Tropical Cyclone Severity Scale that considers wind speed, rainfall, and storm surge. Examples like Hurricane Beryl and Tropical Storm Allison further underscore the need to look beyond wind categories when assessing the severity of a storm. Moving forward, it is crucial for the public to consider all available information from sources like the National Hurricane Center to fully understand the potential impacts of a storm.

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